Summary of United States crop insurance sales and experience

Summary of United States crop insurance sales and experience
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This article was first published by RightRisk News in November 2023.

Crop insurance has become an established part of managing risk for many agricultural producers. The United States Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Risk Management Agency (RMA), created in 1996, serves America’s agricultural producers by managing market-based Federal crop insurance products made available to America’s farmers and ranchers through Approved Insurance Providers (AIP).

For the five-year period from 2018-2022, the number of Federal crop insurance policies sold has remained above 2.1 million nationwide, with the use of crop insurance growing in 2021 and 2022 (Table 1). The percentage of policies indemnified compared to policies earning premium is 33% for the five-year period, with the particularly bad crop years of 2019 and 2022 each having 39% percent of policies indemnified. Overall, the loss ratio (Indemnities/Premiums) was 0.89 for the period from 2018-2022 (89 cents paid out for every premium dollar received). This indicates that premiums are falling in line with targets established to maintain actuarial fairness.

Table 1: United States Crop and Livestock Insurance Policies Summary of Business 2018-2022
Crop YearNumber of Policies SoldPolicies Earning PremiumPolicies IndemnifiedTotal PremiumsTotal IndemnitiesLoss Ratio
2018 2,168,761 1,109,600 322,279 $9.9 billion $7.3 billion 0.74
2019 2,169,451 1,109,824 433,849 $10.2 billion $10.7 billion 1.04
2020 2,198,297 1,116,070 350,205 $10.4 billion $9.2 billion 0.89
2021 2,265,431 1,174,258 307,810 $14.3 billion $9.8 billion 0.68
2022 2,309,347 1,203,521 469,412 $19.2 billion $19.8 billion 1.03

Use of livestock insurance policies has grown significantly in the last five years (Table 2). These policies include Livestock Gross Margin (LGM) insurance available for cattle, swine, and dairy production, Livestock Risk Protection (LRP) available for cattle and swine, and Dairy Revenue Protection (DRP). The DRP program started in 2019, helping explain the jump in use of livestock insurance programs from 2018 to 2019. RMA changes to the LRP insurance program to increase accessibility and use of the program attributes to the recent growth in use of these livestock policies. These changes included a significant increase in the premium subsidies attached to the program. However, in the big picture, livestock insurance programs make up a small portion of the overall crop insurance program.

Table 2: United States Summary of Business for Livestock Insurance Plans 2018-2022, including Livestock Gross Margin (LGM), Livestock Risk Protection (LRP), and Dairy Revenue Protection (DRP).
Insurance PlanNumber of Policies SoldPolicies Earning PremiumPolicies IndemnifiedTotal PremiumsTotal IndemnitiesLoss Ratio
2018 6,732 1,405 800 $12.9 million $14.9 million 1.16
2019 10,282 3,385 1,134 $101.3 million $78.8 million 0.78
2020 12,529 3,883 2,262 $306.3 million $488.6 million 1.59
2021 28,183 7,082 4,604 $572.4 million $149.8 million 0.26
2022 26,880 10,072 6,755 $846.1 million $563.7 million 0.67

Experience for producers using livestock insurance programs from 2018-2022 have varied from year to year with 2018 and 2020 paying out losses that exceeded total premiums collected and the other years with premiums quite a bit above the indemnities paid out. Overall, 60% of policies earning premium from 2018-2022 realized an indemnity and the loss ratio for Federal livestock insurance programs was 0.70.

Other crop insurance programs targeted toward livestock producers are the Rainfall Index (RI) products Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) and Annual Forage (AF) insurance programs. Both programs use precipitation data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center (NOAA CPC) for grids 0.25 degrees longitude by 0.25 degrees latitude. Producers can insure up to 90 percent of the Expected Grid Index Precipitation across a series of two-month intervals. As described in the October RightRisk News, PRF insurance is for perennial forage intended for use as livestock feed and it is widely used by livestock producers across the United States. In contrast, AF insurance is for annually planted forage crops intended for use as livestock feed. AF insurance is only available across eight states in the middle of the country and its use in terms of acres covered is only about 2-3 percent of what is insured under PRF. However, because of the higher dollar value per acre that can be insured under AF versus PRF, the dollar amount of total premiums for AF coverage is about one-third of the total for PRF even though it is available in less than 10 percent of the states. Use of these RI insurance products doubled over the period from 2018 to 2022 and is up again in 2023 (Table 3). The widespread drought conditions of the last three years have led to high loss ratios and driven much of the increase in interest. Overall, 90 percent of the policies earning premium from 2018-2022 were paid at least some indemnity and the overall loss ratio was 1.20.

Table 3: United States Summary of Business for Rainfall Index (RI) Insurance Plans 2018-2022, including Pasture, Rangeland, Forage (PRF) and Annual Forage (AF) insurance programs.
Insurance PlanNumber of Policies SoldPolicies Earning PremiumPolicies IndemnifiedTotal PremiumsTotal IndemnitiesLoss Ratio
2018 39,327 32,142 25,824 $593.0 million $595.1 million 1.00
2019 46,450 36,818 28,515 $672.9 million $419.6 million 0.62
2020 48,480 38,433 35,456 $780.2 million $1.0 billion 1.31
2021 58,526 48,291 45,678 $1.1 billion $1.3 billion 1.18
2022 69,985 58,831 57,027 $1.4 billion $2.2 billion 1.51

Despite the increase in the use of livestock and RI insurance programs over the last few years, most of the growth in Federal crop insurance program participation is explained by the other more traditional crop insurance plans. Table 4 shows the summary of business for crop insurance plans exclusive of livestock, RI, and Whole Farm Revenue Protection (WFRP) insurance programs. Seventy percent of the growth from 2020 to 2022 in insurance policies earning premiums and 86 percent of the growth in total premiums (Table 1) can be explained by growth in crop insurance plans (Table 4). The growth in total crop insurance premiums is a combination of this growth in policies earning premiums and the high commodity prices for corn, soybeans, wheat, etc., that has driven up the amount of liability coverage.

Table 4: United States Summary of Business for Crop Insurance Plans 2018-2022, excluding Livestock, Rainfall (RI), and Whole Farm Revenue Protection (WFRP) insurance programs.
Insurance PlanNumber of Policies SoldPolicies Earning PremiumPolicies IndemnifiedTotal PremiumsTotal IndemnitiesLoss Ratio
2018 2,120,176 1,073,563 294,949 $9.2 billion $6.6 billion 0.72
2019 2,110,500 1,067,464 403,457 $9.3 billion $10.0 billion 1.07
2020 2,135,230 1,071,726 311,954 $9.2 billion $7.6 billion 0.83
2021 2,176,787 1,116,968 257,168 $12.5 billion $8.2 billion 0.66
2022 2,210,677 1,132,861 405,406 $16.8 billion $17.1 billion 1.01

Finally, a brief mention of the Whole Farm Revenue Protection (WFRP) insurance program is warranted. WFRP was developed to provide a safety net for all commodities on a farm under one insurance policy. Nationally, it has struggled to gain much in the way of widespread use (Table 5). Roughly half of the use of WFRP is concentrated in two states, Washington and California. In particular, Washington apple growers have found it to be a useful policy for providing risk management protection for their farms.

Table 5: United States Summary of Business for Whole Farm Revenue Protection (WFRP) insurance plans 2018-2022.
Insurance PlanNumber of Policies SoldPolicies Earning PremiumPolicies IndemnifiedTotal PremiumsTotal IndemnitiesLoss Ratio
2018 2,526 2,490 706 $135.7 million $154.7 million 1.14
2019 2,219 2,157 743 $130.8 million $198.4 million 1.52
2020 2,058 2,028 533 $132.0 million $123.3 million 0.93
2021 1,935 1,917 360 $124.4 million $75.1 million 0.60
2022 1,805 1,757 224 $125.3 million $36.7 million 0.29

 

WFRP coverage is tied to annual tax returns. As such, the 2022 data in Table 5 is subject to change.  To date, one-fourth of the WFRP policies sold for the 2018-2022 crop years have been indemnified and the loss ratio over that period is 0.91. However, WFRP is heavily subsidized and the average premium subsidy over that same period is over 71 percent. This lowers the producer premium and increases the loss ratio experienced by the producer to 3.19. With a robust and established Federal crop insurance program for the commodity crops grown on many acres across the country, use of WFRP has been isolated mainly to specialty crop production. However, it is an interesting thought experiment to think about the potential role for whole farm protection products in relation to efforts like new and beginning farmer initiatives to help support the next generation of farmers and ranchers.

 

See the Risk Management Agency website (http://rma.usda.gov) for comprehensive access to crop insurance Summary of Business reporting tools.

Jay Parsons, Risk Management Specialist - University of Nebraska-Lincoln, jparsons4@unl.edu

John Hewlett, Ranch/Farm Management Specialist - University of Wyoming, hewlett@uwyo.edu 

Jeff Tranel, Ag and Business Management Specialist - Colorado State University, Jeffrey.Tranel@ColoState.edu